<?xml version="1.0" encoding="ISO-8859-1"?><article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance">
<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id>0375-1589</journal-id>
<journal-title><![CDATA[South African Journal of Animal Science]]></journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title><![CDATA[S. Afr. j. anim. sci.]]></abbrev-journal-title>
<issn>0375-1589</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[The South African Society for Animal Science (SASAS)]]></publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id>S0375-15892012000100005</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title xml:lang="en"><![CDATA[Correlated response in longevity from direct selection for production in the South African Jersey breed]]></article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[du Toit]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[J.]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="A01"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[van Wyk]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[J.B.]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="A02"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Maiwashe]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[A.]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="A03"/>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff id="A01">
<institution><![CDATA[,Animal Production Institute Agricultural Research Council ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[Stellenbosch ]]></addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="A02">
<institution><![CDATA[,University of the Free State Department of Animal Wildlife and Grassland Sciences]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[Bloemfontein ]]></addr-line>
<country>South Africa</country>
</aff>
<aff id="A03">
<institution><![CDATA[,Animal Production Institute Agricultural Research Council ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[ ]]></addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="pub">
<day>00</day>
<month>00</month>
<year>2012</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>00</day>
<month>00</month>
<year>2012</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>42</volume>
<numero>1</numero>
<fpage>38</fpage>
<lpage>46</lpage>
<copyright-statement/>
<copyright-year/>
<self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.za/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&amp;pid=S0375-15892012000100005&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso&amp;tlng=en"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.za/scielo.php?script=sci_abstract&amp;pid=S0375-15892012000100005&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso&amp;tlng=en"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.za/scielo.php?script=sci_pdf&amp;pid=S0375-15892012000100005&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso&amp;tlng=en"></self-uri><abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="en"><p><![CDATA[The length of productive life is of major economic importance in dairy cattle production. Simple breeding objectives such as selection for increased production in dairy cattle have led to a significant decline in fitness traits. The objective of the current study was to investigate whether direct selection for production resulted in an undesirable genetic response in longevity in the South African Jersey breed. Longevity was defined as survival in the first three lactations from first calving to culling or death, adjusted for the effect of milk yield. An observation for survival per lactation was denoted by 1 (survived) or 0 (culled) otherwise. Performance and pedigree records on purebred South African Jersey cows that participated in the National Milk Recording and Improvement Scheme were considered. A multiple-trait linear animal model was used to estimate breeding values. A complete (co)variance structure for the additive genetic and residual effects for the three traits were used. Heritabilities used in the current study were 0.034, 0.022 and 0.026 for the 1st, 2nd and 3rd lactations, respectively. Reliabilities were approximated using the effective number of daughters. The estimated breeding values for sires ranged from 79 to 114. The rate of genetic progress per year for the period 1985 to 2002 was statistically non-significant (b = 0.02 ± 0.05 per year). Results from the current study indicate that direct selection for production did not result in an undesirable correlated genetic response in longevity.]]></p></abstract>
<kwd-group>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Productive herd life]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[breeding values]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[genetic analysis]]></kwd>
</kwd-group>
</article-meta>
</front><body><![CDATA[ <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="4"><b><a name="top"></a>Correlated    response in longevity from direct selection for production in the South African    Jersey breed</b></font></p>     <p>&nbsp;</p>     <p>&nbsp;</p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2"><b>J. du Toit<sup>I,    II,</sup></b><sup> <a href="#back">#</a></sup>; <b>J.B. van Wyk<sup>II</sup>;    A. Maiwashe<sup>III</sup></b></font></p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2"><sup>I</sup>Agricultural    Research Council, Animal Production Institute, Private Bag X5013, Stellenbosch,    7599, South Africa    <br>   <sup>II</sup>Department of Animal, Wildlife and Grassland Sciences, University    of the Free State, P. O. Box 339, Bloemfontein, 9300, South Africa    <br>   <sup>III</sup>Agricultural Research Council, Animal Production Institute, Private    Bag X2, Irene, 0062, South Africa</font></p>     <p>&nbsp;</p>     <p>&nbsp;</p> <hr size="1" noshade>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2"><b>ABSTRACT</b></font></p>     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">The length of productive    life is of major economic importance in dairy cattle production. Simple breeding    objectives such as selection for increased production in dairy cattle have led    to a significant decline in fitness traits. The objective of the current study    was to investigate whether direct selection for production resulted in an undesirable    genetic response in longevity in the South African Jersey breed. Longevity was    defined as survival in the first three lactations from first calving to culling    or death, adjusted for the effect of milk yield. An observation for survival    per lactation was denoted by 1 (survived) or 0 (culled) otherwise. Performance    and pedigree records on purebred South African Jersey cows that participated    in the National Milk Recording and Improvement Scheme were considered. A multiple-trait    linear animal model was used to estimate breeding values. A complete (co)variance    structure for the additive genetic and residual effects for the three traits    were used. Heritabilities used in the current study were 0.034, 0.022 and 0.026    for the 1st, 2nd and 3rd lactations, respectively. Reliabilities were approximated    using the effective number of daughters. The estimated breeding values for sires    ranged from 79 to 114. The rate of genetic progress per year for the period    1985 to 2002 was statistically non-significant (b = 0.02 &plusmn; 0.05 per year).    Results from the current study indicate that direct selection for production    did not result in an undesirable correlated genetic response in longevity.</font></p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2"><b>Keywords:</b>    Productive herd life, breeding values, genetic analysis </font></p> <hr size="1" noshade>     <p>&nbsp;</p>     <p>&nbsp;</p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="3"><b>Introduction</b></font></p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">Longevity or herd    life is of major economic importance in dairy cattle production (Boettcher <i>et    al.,</i> 1999a; Settar &amp; Weller, 1999). Longevity can be measured in a variety    of ways, and genetic evaluations are not standardized across countries. However,    its heritability is low, and herd life is expressed at a later age than traits    used in the current South African Jersey selection programme.</font></p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">Increased longevity    affects overall profitability of milk production by reducing replacement costs    and increasing the proportion of mature, high-producing cows in the herd. It    also enables a greater selection response, because fewer cows have to be replaced,    and therefore higher selection intensity of cows is possible (Vukasinovic <i>et    al.,</i> 2001). Selection for herd life is hampered by the time required for    cows to have complete records. For maximum genetic progress, genetic merit of    cows must be evaluated based on information that is available early in life.    It therefore follows that genetic evaluation for herd life must be able to utilize    incomplete herd life information on cows that are still in the herd when selection    decisions are made (Jairath <i>et al.,</i> 1998).</font></p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">As a result, most    national genetic evaluation programmes for dairy cattle include breeding values    for longevity (Miglior <i>et al.,</i> 2005; Forabosco <i>et al.,</i> 2008).    Different definitions for longevity have been considered in dairy cattle in    several countries, leading to different models being implemented in national    genetic evaluation for longevity (S&#246;lkner &amp; Ducrocq, 1999; Veerkamp    <i>et al.,</i> 2001; Caraviello <i>et al.,</i> 2004).</font></p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">These definitions    are based on the number of parities or the actual length of herd life (Vollema    &amp; Groen, 1996). Furthermore, genetic differences for milk yield will have    a major effect on direct measures of survival, because low milk yield is a major    cause of cow culling (Settar &amp; Weller, 1999). Many studies have proposed    analysing functional herd life, which is generally computed as longevity adjusted    for milk yield (Jairath <i>et al.,</i> 1998; Settar &amp; Weller, 1999). This    trait is independent of production, and reflects the fertility, health and overall    fitness of the cow. In the present study functional herd life was defined as    survival in the first three lactations with survival in each lactation considered    as genetically correlated traits. Du Toit <i>et al.</i> (2009) found genetic    correlations ranging from 0.68 to 0.99 between survival adjusted for production    within each of the first three lactations. Jairath &amp; Dekkers (1995) reported    genetic correlations among survival in the first three lactations. These values    were only moderately high (0.60 to 0.75), indicating that survival was a different    genetic trait in each lactation. Boettcher <i>et al.</i> (1999) reported estimates    that were higher (0.84 to 0.91). To accommodate these differences, the Canadian    genetic evaluations models survival as different traits in the first three lactations,    assigning cows to different contemporary groups for each subsequent calving.</font></p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">The objective of    the current study was to investigate whether direct selection for production    resulted in an undesirable genetic response in functional longevity in the South    African Jersey breed.</font></p>     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[<p>&nbsp;</p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="3"><b>Materials and    Methods</b></font></p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">Performance and    pedigree records of South African purebred Jersey cows that participated in    the National Milk Recording and Improvement Scheme were obtained from the South    African national livestock database, commonly known as the Integrated Registration    and Genetic Information System (INTERGIS). The original data (before editing)    included production records from 245 134 Jersey cows from 2004 herds. These    cows were progeny of 5 364 sires and 124 868 cows and were born between 1968    and 2005.</font></p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">Observations for    functional herd life were derived as follows: survival in a given lactation    was determined based on the presence or absence of a subsequent lactation. Survival    was treated as a binary trait and coded 1 if the cow survived and 0 if the cow    was culled or if the number of days between the current calving date and extraction    date exceeded 581. Records from cows in which the number of days between the    current calving date and data extraction date were fewer than 581 were considered    records in progress and were excluded from the analysis. The value 581 was calculated    as mean calving interval plus 3 standard deviations (mean &plusmn; SD values)    to ensure each cow had enough opportunity to calve if it was still in the herd    (Du Toit <i>et al.,</i> 2009). The criteria used to determine survival are explained    in <a href="/img/revistas/sajas/v42n1/05t01.jpg">Table 1</a>.</font></p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">The editing criteria    employed in the official national evaluation for production traits for the Jersey    breed were used. Specifically, the following records were excluded from the    analysis: 1) test-day milk yield &lt;1 kg or &gt;70 kg, fat percentage &lt;2%    or &gt;9%, and protein percentage &lt;2% or &gt;6%; 2) the interval between    calving and first test day exceeding 75 days; 3) at least one interval between    test dates exceeding 100 days; and 4) records with more than one test date interval    between 60 and 100 days. Furthermore, 1) first lactation records terminated    before 01 January 1989 were excluded because there were only a few cows with    test-day records prior to 1989; 2) records with incorrect herd code and records    outside specified age range were excluded; the allowable age ranges were as    follows: 17 to 40, 29 to 53, and 41 to 67 months for first, second, and third    parity, respectively; and 3) records with unknown registration status were excluded.    A summary of the records excluded because of specific criteria is provided in    <a href="/img/revistas/sajas/v42n1/05t02.jpg">Table 2</a>. Most of the records    were deleted mainly owing to first lactations being terminated before 01 January    1989 (15.1%), followed by records with yield equals 0 (3.6%) and records out    of age range for the first three parities (2.2%).</font></p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">After editing,    the data comprised 125 896, 84 133 and 52 833 cows with 1st, 2nd and 3rd lactation    longevity observations. These cows were daughters of 3 736 sires. A total of    963 herds were represented in the data. The minimum and maximum number of daughters    per sire was 1 and 3 899, respectively, with a mean of 30 daughters per sire.    Summary statistics of the edited data are provided in <a href="/img/revistas/sajas/v42n1/05t03.jpg">Table    3</a>.</font></p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">A three-trait mixed    linear animal model was used to estimate breeding values for survival. A matrix    representation of the models for survival in each of the three lactations is    as follows:</font></p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2"><b>y = X&#946;    + Za + ZQg + e</b></font></p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">where <b>y</b>    is a vector of observations, <b>&#946;</b> is a vector of fixed effects, <b>a</b>    is a vector of random additive genetic effects, <b>g</b> is a vector of genetic    group effects, and <b>e</b> is a vector of random residuals. <b>X</b> and <b>Z    </b> are incidence matrices relating fixed and random effects respectively to    observations; <b>Q</b> is an incidence matrix that relates animals to genetic    groups. The following distributional assumptions were made about the random    effects:<img src="/img/revistas/sajas/v42n1/05s02.jpg" align="absmiddle">. The    &#963;<sup>2</sup><sub>a</sub> and o<sup>2</sup><sub>e</sub> are the animal    additive genetic and residual variances, respectively. The <b>A</b> is the Wright's    numerator relationship matrix and <b>R</b> is a residual matrix.</font></p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">The fixed effects    considered in the model were herd x year; registry status x herd size change    x season (RHS); age at first calving (linear and quadratic regression); linear    regression on normalized deviation of 305-day protein yield in lactation 1 within    RHS; linear, quadratic and cubic regressions on normalized deviation of 305-day    protein and fat yields. Fixed effects were defined as follows: Registration    status was defined in two classes: cows in herds with registered cows; and cows    in herds with non-registered cows. Three classes for change in herd size were    defined based on the percentage of change from one year to the next (decreasing    = for a decrease in herd size of &lt;-5%; nearly unchanged = no appreciable    change &#8805;-5% to &#8804;10%; and increasing = for increasing in herd size    of &gt;10%). Similar to Mostert <i>et al.</i> (2004), two seasons of calving    were defined as Winter (season 1, from April to September) versus Summer (season    2, from October to March).The first lactation protein and fat yields were used    because the genetic correlation between first lactation yield and yield in later    lactations is high. Furthermore, low yield in the terminal lactation could have    been caused by a health problem, which is what functional herd life attempts    to measure (Short &amp; Lawlor, 1992).</font></p>     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">A pedigree file    used in the current study to account for relationships among animals included    all cows with observations and their ancestors (n = 456 355) and genetic groups    (n = 69). A genetic group was defined as a concatenation of country of origin,    year of birth, and selection path (e.g. sire of sire, sire of dam, dam of sire    and dam of dam). <a href="/img/revistas/sajas/v42n1/05t04.jpg">Table 4</a> shows    the levels of the fixed and random effects considered in the current study.</font></p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">The (co)variance    components used in the current study were derived from estimates obtained from    a multiple-trait sire model by Du Toit <i>et al.</i> (2009). The (co)variance    components are provided in <a href="#t5">Table 5</a>. The (co)variance components    were derived as follows:</font></p>     <p><a name="t5"></a></p>     <p>&nbsp;</p>     <p align="center"><img src="/img/revistas/sajas/v42n1/05t05.jpg"></p>     <p>&nbsp;</p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">(1)&nbsp;Additive    genetic variance for a given lactation using <img src="/img/revistas/sajas/v42n1/05x11.jpg" align="absmiddle">    </font></p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">(2)&nbsp;Additive    genetic (co)variance between two lactations using <img src="/img/revistas/sajas/v42n1/05x02.jpg" align="absmiddle">    for <img src="/img/revistas/sajas/v42n1/05x03.jpg" align="absmiddle"></font></p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">(3)&nbsp;Residual    variance using <img src="/img/revistas/sajas/v42n1/05x04.jpg" align="absmiddle"></font></p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">(4)&nbsp;Residual    (co)variance between two lactations using <img src="/img/revistas/sajas/v42n1/05x05.jpg" align="absmiddle">    for <img src="/img/revistas/sajas/v42n1/05x03.jpg" align="absmiddle">, where    E<sub>i</sub> is the residual from a sire model.</font></p>     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">Estimated breeding    values (EBVs) were obtained using PEST (Groeneveld <i>et al.,</i> 1994). Estimates    of breeding values for lactations 1, 2 and 3 were obtained from solving the    mixed model equations. The three EBVs were assumed to be equally important and    combined into a single breeding value as EBV<sub>L</sub> = (EBV<sub>1</sub>    +EBV<sub>2</sub> +EBV<sub>3</sub> )/3. Therefore, the EBV for longevity in the    current study is an indication of the ability of a sire's daughters to survive    the first three lactations. This approach is similar to that used in the Canadian    genetic evaluation in Holsteins (Boettcher <i>et al.,</i> 1999b).</font></p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">The scale or unit    of the breeding values is unknown when using a linear sire model. To present    the breeding values on a desired scale, the breeding values were standardized    by using the mean and standard deviation of the base group. The base group was    defined as proven sires born between the years 1990 and 2000 inclusive. The    standardized breeding values were then expressed as relative breeding values    by using the mean of 100 and standard deviation of 5, similar to the procedure    used by Van der Linde <i>et al.</i> (2007).</font></p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">Accuracies were    computed following the method of Liu <i>et al.</i> (2004):</font></p>     <p align="center"><img src="/img/revistas/sajas/v42n1/05x08.jpg"></p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">where <img src="/img/revistas/sajas/v42n1/05x09.jpg" align="absmiddle">and    n<sub>ei</sub> is the effective number of daughters for sire <i>i</i>. The effective    number of daughters was computed as follows (Fikse &amp; Banos, 2000):</font></p>     <p align="center"><img src="/img/revistas/sajas/v42n1/05x10.jpg"></p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">where n<sub>ti</sub>    is the total number of daughters of sire <i>i</i>, n<sub>ij</sub> is the number    of daughters of sire <i>i</i> in contemporary group <i>j</i>, n<sub>j</sub>    is the size of contemporary group <i>j</i>, and summation is over all the number    of contemporary groups that sire <i>i</i> has daughters. This method is considered    standard in dairy cattle genetic evaluation systems.</font></p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">The criteria for    official publication of breeding values for proven sires were that sires were    required to have at least one daughter with an observation for herd life; and    a minimum of 20 daughters in 10 herds with milk production records. A total    of 559 sires met the criteria for publication.</font></p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">Genetic trend was    obtained by regressing the mean breeding value on year of birth of sires that    met the criteria for publication.</font></p>     <p>&nbsp;</p>     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="3"><b>Results and    Discussion</b></font></p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">The distribution    of the EBVs for the proven sires is shown in <a href="#f1">Figure 1</a>. The    mean and standard deviation of the breeding values of these sires were 99 and    5, respectively. These values were similar to the assumed mean and standard    deviation of 100 and 5, respectively. The range of the breeding values was 79    to114.</font></p>     <p><a name="f1"></a></p>     <p>&nbsp;</p>     <p align="center"><img src="/img/revistas/sajas/v42n1/05f01.jpg"></p>     <p>&nbsp;</p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">Different expressions    of nationally predicted sire breeding values for longevity exist in other countries.    Canadian bull proofs on Holsteins for combined herd life are expressed in terms    of relative breeding values (RBVs) using a scale with an average of 100 and    a range of 85 (undesired) to 115 (desired) to include 99% of all proven sires    (Van Doormaal, 2010). Boettcher <i>et al.</i> (1999b) expressed the results    of bulls for combined herd life as expected transmitting abilities (ETA) for    the number of lactations that daughters are expected to survive, after adjustment    for production, standardized to a base of three lactations. The EBV ranged from    2.22 to 3.40 with a standard deviation of 0.15. Using a similar procedure, Jairath    <i>et al.</i> (1998) reported a standard deviation of ETA of 0.156 lactations,    and the range was from 2.31 to 3.43 lactations. In the national genetic evaluation    of Holsteins in the Netherlands, EBVs for functional longevity were expressed    as a relative breeding value with a mean of 100 and a genetic standard deviation    of 4.5. Owing to trait definition and expression of the breeding value for longevity,    the Dutch Cattle Improvement Organisation decided to exclude milk production    as an effect from the model of their genetic evaluation from January 2008 onwards.    The derived breeding value for productive longevity (true longevity) was expressed    in days. The argument for changing from a relative to an absolute expression    of the EBV for longevity was that an EBV in days clearly shows the effect of    a bull on the longevity of his daughters (Van der Linde <i>et al.,</i> 2007).</font></p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">The distribution    of reliabilities among the proven sires is somewhat skewed (<a href="/img/revistas/sajas/v42n1/05f02.jpg">Figure    2</a>). The mean reliability was 33.43% with a range of 0.82% to 95.66%. These    low reliabilities could be owing to an insufficient number of daughters for    a more accurate proof because of the low heritability of the trait. The Canadian    criterion for an official bull proof is 65% and 55% reliability for production    and type traits, respectively. Bull proof for herd life is published only when    the criteria for type are met.</font></p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2"><a href="#f3">Figure    3</a> shows the genetic trend for longevity for proven bulls for the period    1985 to 2002. The rate of genetic progress per year was statistically non-significant    (b = 0.03 &plusmn; 0.05 per year). Similarly, Jairath <i>et al.</i> (1998) reported    a slight positive trend for herd life when the means of expected transmitting    ability (ETA) were plotted by year of birth.</font></p>     <p><a name="f3"></a></p>     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[<p>&nbsp;</p>     <p align="center"><img src="/img/revistas/sajas/v42n1/05f03.jpg"></p>     <p>&nbsp;</p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">In this study,    cows were included in the analyses when they have initiated a first lactation.    Survival could only be defined if there was a subsequent calving or the number    of days between current calving date and data extraction date exceeded 581,    similar to the procedure followed by Boettcher <i>et al.</i> (1999b) and Olori    <i>et al.</i> (2002). This delay means that young bulls cannot be evaluated    early for longevity, thus ruling out early selection decisions. A further delay    is owing to the time it takes to have sufficient daughters for reliable proof    because of the low heritability of the trait (Olori <i>et al.,</i> 2002).</font></p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">As reported by    Boettcher <i>et al.</i> (1999b) on Canadian Holsteins, registered South African    Jerseys are classified for conformation during their first lactations, and functional    herd life includes the first three lactations. Therefore most bulls, particularly    recent progeny test bulls, will have more daughter information for linear-type    traits than for functional herd life. Thus the reliability of the proofs could    be enhanced by including linear-type traits in the model for evaluation of longevity.</font></p>     <p>&nbsp;</p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="3"><b>Conclusion</b></font></p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">Correlated genetic    response on longevity from direct selection on production was estimated in the    current study. The results indicate that direct selection for production in    the South African Jersey breed did not result in undesirable genetic response    in longevity. In addition, the results from the current study indicate that    direct selection for longevity in the South African Jersey breed is feasible.    However, while direct selection for longevity could lead to genetic progress,    this genetic response could be relatively slow owing to the low heritability    and long generation interval.</font></p>     <p>&nbsp;</p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="3"><b>Acknowledgments</b></font></p>     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">This study formed    part of the first author's doctorate thesis, which benefited from funding from    the South African National Research Foundation.</font></p>     <p>&nbsp;</p>     <p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="3"><b>References</b></font></p>     <!-- ref --><p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">Boettcher, P.J.,    Jairath, L.K. &amp; Dekkers, J.C.M., 1999a. Comparison of methods for genetic    evaluation of sires for survival of their daughters in the first three lactations.    J. 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