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versão On-line ISSN 2304-8557
versão impressa ISSN 0023-270X

Koers (Online) vol.73 no.4 Pretoria  2008


The Polokwane conference and South Africa's second political transition: Tentative conclusions on future perspectives


Die Polokwane-konferensie en Suid-Afrika se tweede politieke transisie: Tentatiewe konklusies rondom toekomsperspektiewe



J.C.M. VenterI; A. DuvenhageII

IResearch Fellow: Focus Area Social Transformation, Potchefstroom Campus, North-West University, Potchefstroom. E-mail:
IIResearch Director: Focus Area Social Transformation, Potchefstroom Campus, North-West University, Potchefstroom. E-mail:




In this phase of South Africa's second political transition (manifesting characteristics of political decay) it looks as if the ANC is becoming more dominant, hegemonic and ideological, with added neo-patrimonial tendencies that are becoming more overt in an oligarchic manner. This article analyses the ANC's Polokwane conference (qualitatively and deductively) as part of South Africa's second political transition since 1994 and postulates potential outcomes (scenario perspectives).

Key concepts: parties and party systems; patrimonialism; Polokwane conference; second political transition


In die fase wat as Suid-Afrika se tweede transisie voorgehou kan word (met kenmerke van institusionele verval), kom dit voor asof die ANC polities meer dominant word, sterker hegemonies en ideologies handel, met neo-patrimoniale eienskappe wat sterker na die oppervlak kom en oligargies manifesteer. Hierdie artikel analiseer die ANC se Polokwane-konferensie (kwalitatief en deduktief) as onderdeel van Suid-Afrika se tweede politieke transisie sedert 1994 en beredeneer potensiële uitkomstes (scenario perspektiewe) in hierdie verband.

Kernbegrippe: partye en partystelsels; patrimonialisme; Polokwane konferensie; tweede politieke transisie



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